Source:
Sports
Poly

World Cup Winner

Spain
11%
Yes
No
New Zealand
0%
Yes
No
Switzerland
1%
Yes
No
Vol $3547.6M
Financials
Kalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Anthropic
87%
Yes
No
OpenAI
14%
Yes
No
Vol $0.3M
Sports
Poly

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Stephen A. Smith
1%
Yes
No
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Yes
No
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Yes
No
Vol $1220.4M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will the next Pope be?

Pietro Parolin
5%
Yes
No
Luis Antonio Tagle
5%
Yes
No
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
4%
Yes
No
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump
2%
Yes
No
Person AN
50%
Yes
No
Person CX
50%
Yes
No
Vol $666.6M
World
Kalshi

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

YES13%
NO87%
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Eric Trump
1%
Yes
No
Person BG
50%
Yes
No
Person CZ
50%
Yes
No
Vol $642.2M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot
57%
Yes
No
Naftali Bennett
25%
Yes
No
Israel Katz
14%
Yes
No
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31
48%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
Vol $123.3M
Politics
Kalshi

Which G7 leader will leave next?

Keir Starmer
98%
Yes
No
Emmanuel Macron
5%
Yes
No
Friedrich Merz
2%
Yes
No
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

YES5%
NO95%
Vol $37.3M
Elections
Kalshi

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

YES19%
NO81%
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
100%
Yes
No
New Rihanna Album
51%
Yes
No
New Playboi Carti Album
52%
Yes
No
Vol $23.0M
Science and Technology
Kalshi

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol $0.1M
Sports
Poly

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

YES14%
NO87%
Vol $12.0M
Science and Technology
Kalshi

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 2040
52%
Yes
No
Before 2035
49%
Yes
No
Before 2030
34%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

YES6%
NO94%
Vol $10.8M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

Sorin Grindeanu
34%
Yes
No
Alexandru Nazare
23%
Yes
No
Raluca Turcan
8%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep
43%
Yes
No
D Senate, R House
2%
Yes
No
R Senate, D House
39%
Yes
No
Vol $8.3M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Ding Xuexiang
25%
Yes
No
Chen Jining
22%
Yes
No
Zhao Leji
16%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Other
50%
Yes
No
Democratic Party
83%
Yes
No
Republican Party
18%
Yes
No
Vol $8.0M
Entertainment
Kalshi

Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme

Olivia Dean
45%
Yes
No
Raye
26%
Yes
No
Dua Lipa
20%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

August 31
0%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
Vol $6.9M
Climate and Weather
Kalshi

Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

YES29%
NO71%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
Vol $5.1M
Elections
Kalshi

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

YES17%
NO83%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Next James Bond actor?

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
0%
Yes
No
No Bond chosen
100%
Yes
No
James Norton
0%
Yes
No
Vol $3.9M
Elections
Kalshi

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

YES4%
NO96%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
Vol $3.1M
Science and Technology
Kalshi

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

YES22%
NO78%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party
42%
Yes
No
Republican Party
57%
Yes
No
Party A
50%
Yes
No
Vol $2.8M
Entertainment
Kalshi

Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?

YES59%
NO41%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

July 18
0%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
Vol $2.8M
Financials
Kalshi

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?

Ramp
90%
Yes
No
Brex
8%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
November 30
0%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
Vol $2.8M
Climate and Weather
Kalshi

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

YES54%
NO46%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

MegaETH airdrop by...?

September 30
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
Vol $2.6M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

Bola Tinubu
33%
Yes
No
Emmerson Mnangagwa
23%
Yes
No
Félix Tshisekedi
10%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
Vol $2.6M
Entertainment
Kalshi

Next Miami Vice film: Cast

Glen Powell
33%
Yes
No
Miles Teller
22%
Yes
No
Ryan Gosling
14%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

YES11%
NO90%
Vol $2.5M
Climate and Weather
Kalshi

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

YES79%
NO21%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
No
Vol $2.5M
Science and Technology
Kalshi

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

YES32%
NO68%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
13%
Yes
No
Vol $2.1M
Economics
Kalshi

Who will be the world's second trillionaire?

Mark Zuckerberg
17%
Yes
No
Jensen Huang
16%
Yes
No
Sergey Brin
10%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
November 30
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
Vol $2.1M
Financials
Kalshi

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

Deel
63%
Yes
No
Rippling
42%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Macron out by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
October 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
Vol $2.1M
Health
Kalshi

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

YES45%
NO55%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
26%
Yes
No
Vol $2.0M
Companies
Kalshi

Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Troy Rohrbaugh
39%
Yes
No
Doug Petno
37%
Yes
No
Jennifer Piepzak
16%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Party K
50%
Yes
No
Party L
50%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
Vol $1.9M
Climate and Weather
Kalshi

EU meets its 2030 climate goals?

YES47%
NO53%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

US x Russia military clash by...?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
January 31
0%
Yes
No
Vol $1.7M
Social
Kalshi

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

YES25%
NO75%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
Vol $1.6M
Science and Technology
Kalshi

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

Before 2035
86%
Yes
No
Before 2034
81%
Yes
No
Before 2033
79%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
28%
Yes
No
Vol $1.6M
Politics
Kalshi

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Martin O’Malley
22%
Yes
No
Faiz Shakir
22%
Yes
No
Shasti Conrad
8%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
Vol $1.2M
Politics
Kalshi

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

YES31%
NO69%
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

No Prison Time
99%
Yes
No
<5 years
0%
Yes
No
5-10 years
0%
Yes
No
Vol $1.1M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

Alexander Stubb
16%
Yes
No
Keir Starmer
14%
Yes
No
Petr Pavel
13%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

July 31
3%
Yes
No
December 31
36%
Yes
No
Vol $1.0M
Financials
Kalshi

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

John Waldron
64%
Yes
No
Kim Posnett
7%
Yes
No
Dan Dees
6%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

YES6%
NO94%
Vol $0.9M
Sports
Kalshi

Who will host the 2038 World Soccer Cup?

China
26%
Yes
No
Australia or New Zealand
17%
Yes
No
Brazil, Colombia or Peru
17%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

UK election called by...?

March 31
0%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
Vol $0.8M
Sports
Kalshi

New York J: To Break Playoff Drought

2027-28 season
23%
Yes
No
2028-29 season
20%
Yes
No
2030-31 season
18%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

September 30
0%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
12%
Yes
No
Vol $0.7M
Elections
Kalshi

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

Republican party
55%
Yes
No
Democratic party
48%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

YES9%
NO91%
Vol $0.7M
Sports
Kalshi

Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036

3+ golf major championship wins
99%
Yes
No
4+ golf major championship wins
99%
Yes
No
2+ golf major championship wins
98%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

YES7%
NO94%
Vol $0.5M
Sports
Kalshi

Miles Russell: Golf Majors before 2036

2+ golf major championship wins
99%
Yes
No
3+ golf major championship wins
99%
Yes
No
4+ golf major championship wins
99%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Sports
Poly

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

June 30
0%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
Vol $0.5M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

YES6%
NO95%
Vol $0.5M
Financials
Kalshi

Will Klarna or Stripe IPO first?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
Vol $0.5M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of the G7 leaders will leave office next?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
Vol $0.3M
Entertainment
Kalshi

Who Will Be Cast as the Next John Rambo?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

China x India military clash by...?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
Vol $0.3M
Entertainment
Kalshi

Who will perform the next James Bond theme?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
23%
Yes
No
Vol $0.3M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will the next Pope be?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
83%
Yes
No
Vol $0.2M
Elections
Kalshi

Who will the next Pope be?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
46%
Yes
No
Vol $0.2M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of these Latin America leaders will leave office next?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Spain snap election called by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
Vol $0.2M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of these G7 leaders will leave office next?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
13%
Yes
No
Vol $0.1M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of these European leaders will leave office next?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
3%
Yes
No
Vol $0.1M
Politics
Kalshi

Which of these Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A
Sports
Poly

US recognize Somaliland by...?

December 31
0%
Yes
No
June 30
1%
Yes
No
Vol $0.0M
Economics
Kalshi

Initial jobless claims from Aug 22-28, 2021?

YES50%
NO50%
Vol N/A